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Shel Holtz
Communicating at the Intersection of Business and Technology
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Conclusions drawn from Twitter study don’t add up

There is so much wrong with the conclusions eMarketer has drawn from a LinkedIn and Harris Interactive study of Twitter, it’s hard to know where to start.

The results of the research—conducted in June among US advertisers and Internet users—led eMarketer to conclude:

While marketers, advertisers and members of the media have jumped on the Twitter bandwagon, the average US consumer has not. And without broader consumer acceptance—not to mention awareness—it can???t be considered an effective marketing tool.

This assertion is based on these findings:

  • Only 31% of Web users are familiar with Twitter compared to 83% of advertisers
  • 58% of advertisers found Twitter very effective or effective as a marketing channel
  • 50% of consumers found it to be a very effective or effective marketing channel

Here’s the standard eMarketer graph of one of the key bits of the LinkedIn/Harris report:

Shel Holtz

eMarketer’s belief that Twitter is ineffective is based mostly on the fact that only 31% of Web users are familiar with it. While this suggests that Twitter has not yet become the take-it-for-granted infrastructure some believe it has (what percentage of the Web population is familar with Facebook?), it does not diminish its potential as a channel for marketers who use it well. After all, the idea in social media marketing isn’t to reach your consumers directly, but rather to reach influencers. Early adopters are generally seen as influencers who share their opinions with their networks, which are not confined to Twitter.

Then there’s the notion that one of Twitter’s best uses for companies is in establishing and building relationships, not traditional marketing. Comcast’s initial “Can I help?” outreach to complaining customers is one example; the army of Dell employees who build communities is another. And despite a rocky start, the concept behind Best Buy’s Twelpforce is a bold one—front-line employees volunteering to respond to customers who send them questions.

Speaking of Dell, the $2 million earned by the Dell Outlet based on tweets announcing special offers may be chump change in the overall scheme of the company’s earnings. But it’s $2 million they wouldn’t have earned without the Dell Outlet Twitter account and the effort involved in generating that $2 million was minimal.

On a side note, I have to wonder about the 50% of consumers who find Twitter effective, since only 31% are aware of it at all. I assume that’s 50% of those who are familiar with Twitter. But it’s something of a specious argument, since Twitter continues to grow at an astonishing rate—from May to June alone, Twitter added about 5 million users, according to Nielsen. Greater awareness is coming.

The Nielsen/Harris study also suggests awareness of Twitter is greatest among younger Web users—even though Nielsen’s data shows that just 16% of U.S. visitors to Twitter are under 25. This group represents 25% of the total active base of U.S. Internet users.

And finally, when half or more of respondents tell you they find a channel effective for marketing, isn’t it a bit of a stretch to conclude that the channel is ineffective?

This is why research needs to be taken with a grain of salt.

Comments
  • 1.Yes, all research needs to be taken with a grain of salt. Especially the part about Dell earning $2 million from Twitter. How do they know they wouldn't have earned some of that without the Twitter account from people that were already planning on purchasing from Dell anyway? Just playing Devil's advocate, as they have clearly used Twitter well and clearly there are opportunities for other companies to use it well, regardless of what eMarketer or anyone thinks.

    Jason Peck | August 2009 | NC

  • 2.Good post, Shel.(First-time reader; will be back.) Numbers weren't making sense for me, either. All I see every day is massive Twitter growth, lots of positive publicity (see NY Times) and more success stories and case studies. Twitter is definitely still in the early adoption phase, but those early adopters are, as you say, heavy influencers. Translation: A marketer's dream.

    Jay Scott | August 2009 | Atlanta

  • 3.@Jason, thanks for the comment. My understanding is that these special offers were available ONLY through the Twitter account, so the sales wouldn't have come through any other channel.

    Shel Holtz | August 2009

  • 4.@Shel I understand they were special offers for Twitter. But some people who might have been buying anyway may have just waited for offers on Twitter, instead of just buying like they normally would or like they planned on buying anyway. So isn't it impossible to only attribute those sales to Twitter?

    I still agree offering discounts on Twitter was a great idea for them, just not sure if that sales number can be 100% accurate. But I guess, even if it was 50% accurate, it still definitely is worth doing.

    Jason Peck | August 2009 | NC

  • 5.@Jason: Totally agreed the Twitter phenomenon fogged all over is nothing but more of a marketing success.

    Alex | August 2009

  • 6.This is really useful, like all your blog posts. I wanted to do a quick tweet/RT about it but there's no Twitter button under your 'Share This' facility - unless I'm overlooking something. Thanks very much. Diana

    Diana Railton | August 2009 | Bath, UK

  • 7.Of course Twitter is an ineffective marketing tool. If e-marketer classified it otherwise I would be worried. Twitter is a conversation tool and it will only be effective as a marketing tool if you change your marketing to reflect the fact that conversation spaces are where influence resides in the world of social media. Most organisations have not done this - therefore Twitter remains (for them) ineffective.

    Richard Stacy | August 2009 | UK

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